SOL Price Prediction: Is It a Good Investment Before 2026?

#SOL

• Technical Consolidation: SOL is testing key support near $124.80 after falling below its 20-day average, but positive MACD momentum hints at a potential rebound.
• Innovation vs. Litigation: Strong bullish fundamentals from quantum-resistant development are counterbalanced by bearish sentiment from an advancing class-action lawsuit.
• Asymmetric Risk/Reward: Current prices may offer a favorable entry for long-term believers in Solana's tech, but require strict risk management due to ongoing legal uncertainty.

SOL Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SOL Shows Mixed Signals Amid Consolidation

According to BTCC financial analyst Michael, SOL is currently trading at $126.60, which is below its 20-day moving average of $133.78. This suggests the asset is in a short-term bearish phase relative to its recent trend. The MACD indicator, however, presents a more nuanced picture. With a positive MACD line at 1.5459 and a positive histogram at 1.6704, it indicates underlying bullish momentum is still present, despite the price being below the MA. The asset is trading NEAR the lower Bollinger Band at $124.80, which often acts as a support level. Michael notes that a sustained hold above this band could signal a potential rebound towards the middle band at $133.78.

Market Sentiment: Innovation Contrasts with Legal Headwinds

BTCC financial analyst Michael assesses the news flow for solana as presenting a high-contrast sentiment picture. On the bullish side, the proactive collaboration with Project Eleven to develop quantum-proof cryptography is a significant long-term positive, positioning SOL as a forward-thinking leader in blockchain security. This innovation-driven narrative supports the underlying bullish momentum hinted at in the technical analysis. Conversely, the advancing class action lawsuit against entities associated with Solana introduces a clear element of regulatory and reputational risk, which can create near-term uncertainty and selling pressure. Michael concludes that while the fundamental technological trajectory is strong, the market sentiment is currently tempered by these legal overhangs.

Factors Influencing SOL’s Price

Solana Foundation Proactively Addresses Quantum Computing Threats with Project Eleven Collaboration

The solana Foundation has unveiled a strategic partnership with Project Eleven to mitigate quantum computing risks, marking a pivotal step in long-term blockchain security. The collaboration has already yielded a functional testnet using post-quantum digital signatures, demonstrating Solana's commitment to maintaining cryptographic resilience.

Project Eleven's threat assessment scrutinized critical vulnerabilities across Solana's ecosystem, including wallet security, validator infrastructure, and core cryptographic protocols. VP of Technology Matt Sorg emphasized the initiative's forward-looking nature: 'Our responsibility is to ensure Solana remains secure not just today, but decades into the future.'

The prototype successfully integrates quantum-resistant transactions without compromising scalability—a technical milestone that positions Solana as a leader in next-generation blockchain security. This development arrives as the crypto industry grapples with the theoretical but growing threat of quantum decryption to existing cryptographic standards.

Solana Tests Quantum-Proof Cryptography in Partnership with Project Eleven

Solana is taking proactive steps to future-proof its blockchain against quantum computing threats. The network has partnered with Project Eleven, a leader in quantum-resistant cryptography, to test new security protocols. While quantum technology isn't considered an immediate danger, Solana's initiative positions it as a forward-thinking blockchain platform.

The collaboration will focus on developing post-quantum digital signatures and assessing Solana's Core infrastructure for quantum readiness. Project Eleven will run comprehensive tests on wallets, validators, and transaction protocols to ensure end-to-end quantum resistance. 'Our responsibility is to ensure Solana remains secure not just today, but decades into the future,' said Matt Sorg of the Solana Foundation.

This MOVE reflects growing awareness in the crypto sector about long-term security challenges. Other major blockchains may soon follow Solana's lead in addressing quantum vulnerabilities before they become critical threats.

Solana Leads Blockchain Adoption Amid Market Turmoil

Solana (SOL) remains the most widely used blockchain in 2025, commanding 26.79% market share despite a 10.3% monthly price drop. The network outperforms Base (13.94%) and ethereum (13.43%) in developer activity, even as crypto markets bled $650 million in liquidations.

Macroeconomic uncertainty continues to pressure risk assets. Bitcoin’s slide to $85,000 triggered cascading selloffs, with SOL now down 42.7% from December 2024 peaks. The token’s 2024 gains have evaporated entirely.

‘Infrastructure thrives when speculation falters,’ observed CoinGecko’s year-end report, noting Solana’s dominance in real-world applications contrasts with its spot market struggles. Derivatives data shows Leveraged positions unwinding across exchanges like Binance and Bybit.

Class Action Lawsuit Against Pump.fun and Solana Advances with New Evidence

A federal judge has greenlit an amended complaint in the class action lawsuit targeting Pump.fun and Solana, marking a pivotal turn in the case. Plaintiffs allege newly obtained chat logs reveal systemic manipulation of the token launch platform.

The lawsuit, covering investors who suffered losses on Pump.fun-launched tokens since March 2024, now includes explosive claims ranging from securities violations to RICO offenses. Court documents suggest the platform allegedly privileged insiders with access to Solana infrastructure and Jito Labs' transaction tools.

Defendants' attempts to dismiss the case on procedural grounds were overruled. The court granted plaintiffs until October to incorporate evidence from a confidential informant claiming to possess 5,000 incriminating messages.

Is SOL a good investment?

Based on the current technical and fundamental landscape, SOL presents a complex investment case with defined risks and opportunities.

Technical Outlook: The price is in a consolidation phase below its key moving average, but bullish momentum indicators like the MACD suggest the pullback may be temporary. The lower Bollinger Band offers a nearby support level to watch.

Fundamental Drivers:

Verdict: For investors with a higher risk tolerance and a medium-to-long-term horizon, current levels could represent a strategic accumulation zone, betting on Solana's continued technological execution. The quantum-proof initiative is a major differentiator. However, the legal overhang necessitates caution. It is not a low-risk investment at this moment. A prudent strategy would be to dollar-cost average into positions, setting stop-losses below the $124.80 support, while closely monitoring for resolution of the legal case.